Asia session preview: gold and silver deeply oversold, Nikkei 225 below its pivot

About this page

Prices below are Friday 30 October closes, so weekend moves are not yet reflected before Tokyo opens at 04:00 Dubai time. Gold (-3.29%) and silver (-5.59%) ended the week under heavy selling, while WTI rose 2.08% and the Nasdaq 100 dropped 3.46%. China's RatingDog manufacturing PMI at 05:45 is the key data point for the session.

Asia ·

Gold (XAU/USD) — Bearish

Gold closed at 3898.9, down 3.29%, below the pivot 3938.8 and far below MA20 (4115.04) and MA50 (4294.8). RSI 27.9 is oversold, and a Yahoo Finance headline notes gold's worst October since 2008.

What to watch: Friday's low of 3879.3 and S1 3839.4. Oversold readings can bring sharp rebounds.

Scenario: If 3839.4 gives way, the next support is 3779.9; a recovery above 3938.8 would ease the pressure toward 3998.3.

R: 3998.3 / 4097.7 · P: 3938.8 · S: 3839.4 / 3779.9

Silver (XAG/USD) — Bearish

Silver fell 5.59% to 49.276, below the pivot 50.162 and well under MA20 (56.713). RSI 22.6 is deeply oversold.

What to watch: Whether the round 50 level can be reclaimed, and Friday's low of 48.895.

Scenario: Below 48.009 the slide could extend to 46.742; holding above 50.162 would open room toward 51.429.

R: 51.429 / 53.582 · P: 50.162 · S: 48.009 / 46.742

WTI crude oil — Bullish

WTI rose 2.08% to 104.12, just above the pivot 103.85 and well above MA20 (97.44). RSI 61.6 is firm but not stretched.

What to watch: Friday's high of 104.99 and R1 105.26. Front-month quotes can be distorted around contract rolls.

Scenario: Holding above 103.85 keeps the upside bias toward 105.26 and 106.41; a drop below 102.7 would weaken it.

R: 105.26 / 106.41 · P: 103.85 · S: 102.7 / 101.29

Brent crude oil — Neutral

Brent slipped 1.26% to 113.43 but stays above the pivot 112.92 and MA20 (108.73), with RSI 62.1. Its move diverged from WTI on Friday.

What to watch: Friday's high of 114.29 and R1 114.8 above, and S1 111.56 below.

Scenario: A break above 114.8 would favour 116.16; a close below 111.56 would shift the bias lower toward 109.68.

R: 114.8 / 116.16 · P: 112.92 · S: 111.56 / 109.68

Nikkei 225 — Bearish

The Nikkei 225 closed at 63290.11, down 2.12%, below the pivot 63530.19 and MA20 (65944.86). RSI 41.8 shows soft momentum. The index opens at 04:00 Dubai time.

What to watch: How Tokyo digests the US tech sell-off at the open, and China's PMI at 05:45.

Scenario: Below 62471.34 the next support is 61652.57; a move back above 63530.19 would target 64348.96.

R: 64348.96 / 65407.81 · P: 63530.19 · S: 62471.34 / 61652.57

Nasdaq 100 — Bearish

The Nasdaq 100 fell 3.46% to 28384.85, below MA20 (29933.09) and MA50 (29796.3), with RSI 34.9. Cash US indices are closed; Nasdaq futures in the snapshot also show Friday's close of 28534, so the weekend gap is not visible yet.

What to watch: Futures reaction in Asian hours. Headlines point to catalysts that could extend the Nasdaq sell-off this week.

Scenario: Below 28080.91 risk extends toward 27776.97; reclaiming 28397.18 would point to 28701.12.

R: 28701.12 / 29017.39 · P: 28397.18 · S: 28080.91 / 27776.97

Events (Dubai time)

This analysis is general market commentary for information only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Trading leveraged products such as forex and CFDs carries a high risk of losing money. Prepared with automated tools from a market data snapshot (Yahoo Finance prices, economic calendar, public news headlines); prices may be delayed.

Invvex ·

العربية